{"id":1736,"date":"2025-11-05T23:59:43","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T23:59:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/toposuranos.com\/InvestorInsight\/?p=1736"},"modified":"2025-11-06T00:48:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T00:48:14","slug":"%e3%83%a2%e3%83%b3%e3%83%86%e3%82%ab%e3%83%ab%e3%83%ad%e3%83%bb%e3%82%b7%e3%83%9f%e3%83%a5%e3%83%ac%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b7%e3%83%a7%e3%83%b3%ef%bc%9a%e7%a7%81%e3%81%ae%e9%81%8b%e7%94%a8%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/toposuranos.com\/InvestorInsight\/ja\/2025\/11\/05\/%e3%83%a2%e3%83%b3%e3%83%86%e3%82%ab%e3%83%ab%e3%83%ad%e3%83%bb%e3%82%b7%e3%83%9f%e3%83%a5%e3%83%ac%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b7%e3%83%a7%e3%83%b3%ef%bc%9a%e7%a7%81%e3%81%ae%e9%81%8b%e7%94%a8%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u30fb\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a\u79c1\u306e\u904b\u7528\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\uff082024\u5e742\u6708\u301c2025\u5e7410\u6708\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u30fb\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a\u79c1\u306e\u904b\u7528\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\uff082024\u5e742\u6708\u301c2025\u5e7410\u6708\uff09<\/h1>\n<h2>\u8a55\u4fa1\u3068\u900f\u660e\u6027\u306e\u78ba\u4fdd<\/h2>\n<p>\u8352\u308c\u305f10\u6708\u306e\u7de0\u3081\u306b\u3042\u305f\u308a\u3001\u79c1\u306f<strong>\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u30fb\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3<\/strong>\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3057\u3001\u5b9f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3001<strong>2024\u5e742\u67081\u65e5<\/strong>\u306b\u5b9f\u8cc7\u91d1\u3067\u6295\u8cc7\u3092\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u904b\u7528\u306e\u8cea\u3092\u8a55\u4fa1\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30e9\u30f3\u306e\u89b3\u6e2c\u671f\u9593\u306f<strong>2025\u5e7410\u670830\u65e5<\/strong>\u3067\u7d42\u4e86\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u672c\u6f14\u7fd2\u306f\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u57fa\u6e96\u3001\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u5404\u30a4\u30c6\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067\u4e57\u308a\u8d8a\u3048\u305f\u3044<em>\u7269\u5dee\u3057<\/em>\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3001eToro\u3067\u79c1\u306e\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30d5\u30a9\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u30b3\u30d4\u30fc\u3057\u3066\u304f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65b9\u3005\u306b\u900f\u660e\u6027\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u306a\u305c\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u6cd5\u304b<\/h3>\n<p>\u52d8\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3059\u3067\u306b\u8d77\u304d\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u7ffb\u8a33\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002<em>\u6708\u6b21\u30ea\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3<\/em>\u304b\u3089\u5e73\u5747\u3068\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u6570\u5343\u672c\u306e\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3089\u3057\u3044\u8ecc\u8de1\u3092\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u6642\u9593\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u6bd4\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u57fa\u6e96\u3067\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u3092\u76e3\u67fb\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u524d\u63d0\u3068\u5236\u7d04<\/h3>\n<p>\u8ecc\u9053\u306f\u6708\u6b21\u983b\u5ea6\u3067\u751f\u6210\u3055\u308c\u3001\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u306f n=21\uff082024\u5e742\u6708\u21922025\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u304b\u3089\u63a8\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u524d\u63d0\u306b\u6761\u4ef6\u3065\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u3068\u30c6\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u7d4c\u9a13\u7684<em>\u30d6\u30fc\u30c8\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30c3\u30d7<\/em>\uff08\u5206\u4f4d\u70b9\/CVaR\uff09\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3001\u62e1\u5927\u3059\u308b<em>\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb<\/em>\u306e\u7a93\u3067\u767e\u5206\u4f4d\u306e\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u89e3\u91c8\u306f\u3001\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u5909\u5316\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u3066\u884c\u3046\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u30fb\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3<\/h2>\n<h3>\u5165\u529b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/h3>\n<table class=\"data-table\" style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u89b3\u6e2c\u671f\u9593<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u89b3\u6e2c\u6570<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u6708\u6b21\u5e73\u5747\uff08\u03bc\uff09<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u6708\u6b21\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff08\u03c3\uff09<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>2024\u5e742\u67081\u65e5\u301c2025\u5e7410\u670830\u65e5<\/td>\n<td>21<\/td>\n<td>1,69&nbsp;%<\/td>\n<td>3,51&nbsp;%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u79c1\u306e\u30ea\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3084\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30d5\u30a9\u30ea\u30aa\u306e\u3088\u308a\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u8a73\u7d30\u306b\u95a2\u5fc3\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/etoro.tw\/3WpJM7a\">eToro\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30eb<\/a>\u3092\u3054\u89a7\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf<\/h3>\n<table class=\"data-table\" style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u671f\u9593<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u6708\u6570<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u53cd\u5fa9\u56de\u6570<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u8868\u793a\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u57fa\u6e96\u5024<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc\">\u983b\u5ea6<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>5\u5e74<\/td>\n<td>60<\/td>\n<td>1000<\/td>\n<td>50%\uff08P25\u2013P75\uff09\u300180%\uff08P10\u2013P90\uff09\u300190%\uff08P05\u2013P95\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u306b\u4fc2\u65701<\/td>\n<td>\u6708\u6b21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10\u5e74<\/td>\n<td>120<\/td>\n<td>5000<\/td>\n<td>50%\uff08P25\u2013P75\uff09\u300180%\uff08P10\u2013P90\uff09\u300190%\uff08P05\u2013P95\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u306b\u4fc2\u65701<\/td>\n<td>\u6708\u6b21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u7d50\u679c<\/h2>\n<p>\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u30012024\u301c2025\u5e74\u306b\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6539\u5584\u3068\u6574\u5408\u7684\u306a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u306a\u6210\u9577\u8ecc\u9053\u3092\u63cf\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e88\u6e2c\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u306f\u4e0a\u5411\u304d\u3067\u3001\u5178\u578b\u7684\u306a\u5e2f\u57df\u306f\u6291\u5236\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u624b\u6cd5\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u826f\u597d\u306a\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027\u306e\u3042\u308b\u30ea\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u751f\u307f\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u4e0a\u65b9\u3078\u306e\u4e00\u8cab\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u8ecc\u8de1\u306e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u306f\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u5e74\u6b21\u6539\u5584\uff082024\u5e74\u306e\u6708\u6b21\u5e73\u5747\u304a\u3088\u305d1,20 %\u306b\u5bfe\u30572025\u5e74\u306f2,22 %\u3001\u304b\u3064\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u6708\u306e\u983b\u5ea6\u5897\uff09\u3068\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u57f7\u884c\u304c\u3088\u308a\u5805\u5b9f\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u6291\u5236\uff1a<\/strong>5\u5e74\u30fb10\u5e74\u306e\u4e21\u671f\u9593\u3067\u4e0b\u65b9\u88fe\u306f\u4e2d\u5eb8\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u3082\u7d2f\u7a4d\u6210\u9577\u306f\u30bc\u30ed\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3089\u305a\u30012025\u5e74\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30d7\u30ed\u30d5\u30a1\u30a4\u30eb4\u524d\u5f8c\u306e\u4e2d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u6574\u5408\u7684\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u597d\u307e\u3057\u3044\u975e\u5bfe\u79f0\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\uff08\u5e83\u304c\u308a\uff09\u306f\u53f3\u306b\u6b6a\u3093\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4f4e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u9ad8\u3044\u6210\u679c\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u306f\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u308c\u3001\u5353\u8d8a\u3057\u305f\u6708\u304c\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u3092\u640d\u306a\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306a\u304f\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u76f8\u5bfe\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\uff1a<\/strong>2025\u5e74YTD\u306f\u4e3b\u8981\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u6307\u6570\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u3053\u306e\u6210\u7e3e\u304c\u5358\u4e00\u306e\u4f8b\u5916\u7684\u306a\u6708\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u305b\u305a\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3068\u6574\u5408\u3059\u308b\u7d50\u679c\u5206\u5e03\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u904b\u7528\u4e0a\u306e\u793a\u5506\uff1a<\/strong>\u30ea\u30d0\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u898f\u5f8b\u3068\u30ec\u30d0\u30ec\u30c3\u30b8\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b21\u56de\u66f4\u65b0\u306b\u5411\u3051\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u3068P25\u2013P75\u5e2f\u306e\u72ed\u5c0f\u5316\u3092\u76ee\u6a19\u3068\u3057\u3001\u5e0c\u5c11\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7b2c5\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u306b\u7279\u306b\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure style=\"margin:1.5rem 0\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/toposuranos.com\/InvestorInsight\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/montecarlo-5a.jpg\" alt=\"\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u5e2f\u3068\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u8ecc\u8de1\u306b\u3088\u308b5\u5e74\u4e88\u6e2c\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto\" \/><figcaption style=\"font-size:0.95em;color:#555\">\n    5\u5e74\u4e88\u6e2c\u3002\u5e2f\u57df\u306f50%\uff08P25\u2013P75\uff09\u300180%\uff08P10\u2013P90\uff09\u300190%\uff08P05\u2013P95\uff09\u3002\u9ec4\u8272\u306e\u7dda\u306f\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure style=\"margin:1.5rem 0\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/toposuranos.com\/InvestorInsight\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/montecarlo-10a.jpg\" alt=\"\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u5e2f\u3068\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u8ecc\u8de1\u306b\u3088\u308b10\u5e74\u4e88\u6e2c\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto\" \/><figcaption style=\"font-size:0.95em;color:#555\">\n    10\u5e74\u4e88\u6e2c\u3002\u5e2f\u57df\u306f50%\uff08P25\u2013P75\uff09\u300180%\uff08P10\u2013P90\uff09\u300190%\uff08P05\u2013P95\uff09\u3002\u9ec4\u8272\u306e\u7dda\u306f\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u691c\u8a0e\u4e8b\u9805<\/h2>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5236\u7d04\u306f\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u30b5\u30a4\u30ba\u3067\u3059\u3002\u89b3\u6e2c\u6708\u304c\u5897\u3048\u308b\u307b\u3069\u63a8\u5b9a\u306f\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\uff08\u8aa4\u5dee\u306f\u6982\u306d ~1\/\u221an \u3067\u4f4e\u4e0b\uff09\u3001\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u3082\u9ad8\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092\u6539\u5584\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5404\u6708\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u8fbc\u3080<strong>\u30ed\u30fc\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u30fb\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u30c9\u30a6\u306b\u3088\u308b\u518d\u63a8\u5b9a<\/strong>\u3092\u884c\u3044\u3001n 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ACF \u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f\uff09\u3084\u5358\u7d14\u306a GARCH \u3092\u7528\u3044\u3001\u6b8b\u5dee\u304b\u3089\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3057\u3066\u9023\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u52d5\u304d\u3084<em>\u30af\u30e9\u30b9\u30bf\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0<\/em>\u3092\u518d\u73fe\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<strong>\u7570\u306a\u308b\u671f\u9593\u306e\u6df7\u5728<\/strong>\u306f\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u5909\u5316\u306e\u691c\u51fa\u3067\u6291\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5c65\u6b74\u304c\u9577\u304f\u306a\u308b\u307b\u3069\u691c\u51fa\u529b\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u308a\u3001\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u5225\u306b\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u5404\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u7d50\u5408\u3067\u304d\u3001\u6df7\u5408\u306b\u3088\u308b\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u907f\u3051\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u62e1\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f<em>\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb<\/em>\u306e\u7a93\u3067 P5\u2013P95 \u306e\u88ab\u8986\u3068<em>PIT<\/em>\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001<strong>\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u30ad\u30e3\u30ea\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3<\/strong>\u304c\u5f37\u5316\u3055\u308c\u3001\u6301\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u4e56\u96e2\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u4eee\u5b9a\u3092\u8abf\u6574\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6708\u6b21\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u84c4\u7a4d\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306b\u3064\u308c\u3066\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5b9f\u8df5\u306f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u8aa0\u5b9f\u306a\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u5e2f\u3068\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3064\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u904b\u7528\u6307\u6a19\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u6ce8\u610f<\/h3>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u304c\u5909\u308f\u308c\u3070\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u3082\u5909\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u672c\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u63d0\u4f9b\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u63a8\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f<em>\u78ba\u7387\u7684\u306a\u67a0\u7d44\u307f<\/em>\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u5e02\u5834\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u3067\u6709\u52b9\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6642\u9593\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u904b\u7528\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u53c2\u7167\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4fdd\u8a3c\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u30fb\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a\u79c1\u306e\u904b\u7528\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\uff082024\u5e742\u6708\u301c2025\u5e7410\u6708\uff09 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\u306a\u305c\u30e2\u30f3\u30c6\u30ab\u30eb\u30ed\u6cd5\u304b \u52d8\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3059\u3067\u306b\u8d77\u304d\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u7ffb\u8a33\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6708\u6b21\u30ea\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u304b\u3089\u5e73\u5747\u3068\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u6570\u5343\u672c\u306e\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3089\u3057\u3044\u8ecc\u8de1\u3092\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u6642\u9593\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u6bd4\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u57fa\u6e96\u3067\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u3092\u76e3\u67fb\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u524d\u63d0\u3068\u5236\u7d04 \u8ecc\u9053\u306f\u6708\u6b21\u983b\u5ea6\u3067\u751f\u6210\u3055\u308c\u3001\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u306f n=21\uff082024\u5e742\u6708\u21922025\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u304b\u3089\u63a8\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u524d\u63d0\u306b\u6761\u4ef6\u3065\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u3068\u30c6\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u7d4c\u9a13\u7684\u30d6\u30fc\u30c8\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30c3\u30d7\uff08\u5206\u4f4d\u70b9\/CVaR\uff09\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3001\u62e1\u5927\u3059\u308b\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u7a93\u3067\u767e\u5206\u4f4d\u306e\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u89e3\u91c8\u306f\u3001\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30ec\u30b8\u30fc\u30e0\u5909\u5316\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u3066\u884c\u3046\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 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