Armas e Algoritmos: Impacto Geopol\u00edtico e Tecnol\u00f3gico<\/title><\/head><body><\/p>\n<h1>Armas e Algoritmos: Impacto Geopol\u00edtico e Tecnol\u00f3gico<\/h1>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Resumo executivo<\/h2>\nDurante a semana 9 \u2013 14 de junho de 2025<\/strong>, tr\u00eas focos de risco coincidiram e afetaram simultaneamente os ativos de crescimento da minha carteira no eToro:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ambiente macroecon\u00f4mico restritivo:<\/strong> O Federal Reserve manteve a taxa b\u00e1sica em 4,25 \u2013 4,50 %<\/em> e reiterou uma orienta\u00e7\u00e3o \u201chigher for longer<\/em>\u201d, elevando assim o custo de oportunidade das avalia\u00e7\u00f5es growth<\/em> (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2025). Ao mesmo tempo, os ataques de Israel ao Ir\u00e3 impulsionaram o petr\u00f3leo (+7 %) e ativaram fluxos de ref\u00fagio para o ouro, que se aproximou de m\u00e1ximas hist\u00f3ricas, enquanto o Bitcoin caiu brevemente abaixo de 104.000 USD (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025).<\/li>\n<li>Risco regulat\u00f3rio nas Big Tech:<\/strong> A Comiss\u00e3o Europeia imp\u00f4s as primeiras san\u00e7\u00f5es da Digital Markets Act<\/em>: Apple (\u20ac500 M)<\/em> e Meta (\u20ac200 M)<\/em> t\u00eam 60 dias para modificar seus modelos de neg\u00f3cio (European Commission, 2025).<\/li>\n<li>Press\u00e3o sobre semicondutores e com\u00e9rcio:<\/strong> Washington ampliou os controles de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o; Nvidia<\/em> excluiu a China de suas previs\u00f5es e assumir\u00e1 um encargo de at\u00e9 5,5 MM USD, enquanto TSMC<\/em> e ASML<\/em> recuaram diante do temor de tarifas de 55 % que os EUA mant\u00eam sobre importa\u00e7\u00f5es chinesas. O \u201cacordo preliminar\u201d anunciado por Trump carece de detalhes e mant\u00e9m a incerteza sobre a cadeia de suprimentos global (The Guardian, 11 de junho de 2025).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\nEm conjunto, as mega-caps tecnol\u00f3gicas<\/strong> cederam entre 1,5 \u2013 3 %, os ETFs de crescimento<\/strong> (SCHG, SPYG, ACWI) recuaram mais de 1 % na semana, e o segmento de semicondutores<\/strong> sofreu um ajuste adicional de 4 \u2013 6 %. As prote\u00e7\u00f5es defensivas (ouro via IAU) subiram cerca de ~1,3 % (Yahoo Finance, 2025), mas a volatilidade do Bitcoin<\/strong> e a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do petr\u00f3leo adicionam ru\u00eddo no curto prazo. Para as pr\u00f3ximas semanas, as chaves ser\u00e3o: Fed 17-18 jun, prazo DMA 23 jun, c\u00fapula do G7 25-27 jun e evolu\u00e7\u00e3o do risco no Oriente M\u00e9dio<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h2>1. Contexto macroecon\u00f4mico<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<h3>1.1 Pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria do Federal Reserve<\/h3>\nNa sua reuni\u00e3o de maio-junho, o Federal Open Market Committee<\/em> manteve a faixa-alvo para a taxa de fundos federais em 4,25 \u2013 4,50 %<\/strong>, sublinhando que a pol\u00edtica continuar\u00e1 \u201crestritiva por mais tempo\u201d enquanto persistirem os riscos inflacion\u00e1rios e a incerteza derivada das novas tarifas norte-americanas (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2025).<\/p>\nO comunicado oficial destacou um crescimento do PIB real \u201cmoderado\u201d e um mercado de trabalho \u201capertado, por\u00e9m esfriando\u201d. Em coletiva de imprensa, Jerome Powell destacou que o Federal Reserve <q>est\u00e1 em uma boa posi\u00e7\u00e3o<\/q> para reagir caso as tarifas provoquem uma segunda onda inflacion\u00e1ria, deixando claro que cortes de juros \u201cn\u00e3o est\u00e3o na mesa\u201d at\u00e9 que haja evid\u00eancia concreta de uma desinfla\u00e7\u00e3o duradoura.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>1.2 Tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas e pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo<\/h3>\nNa madrugada de 13 de junho, Israel realizou ataques a\u00e9reos seletivos contra instala\u00e7\u00f5es iranianas, o que impulsionou o pre\u00e7o do Brent<\/strong> at\u00e9 um m\u00e1ximo intradi\u00e1rio de 78,50 $\/barril (+13 %) e um fechamento com alta pr\u00f3xima de 7 % (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025). Analistas do ING e do Goldman Sachs alertaram que o risco de interrup\u00e7\u00e3o no Estreito de Ormuz poderia empurrar o petr\u00f3leo acima de 120 $ caso o conflito se prolongue (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025).<\/p>\nA disparada do petr\u00f3leo provocou vendas massivas em renda vari\u00e1vel global: o S&P 500 recuou 1,1 %, o Dow Jones 1,8 % e as companhias a\u00e9reas europeias cederam at\u00e9 4 % diante da perspectiva de maiores custos de combust\u00edvel (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025). Paralelamente, a for\u00e7a do d\u00f3lar \u2014devido ao seu papel como ref\u00fagio\u2014 intensificou a press\u00e3o sobre mercados emergentes dependentes de importa\u00e7\u00f5es energ\u00e9ticas.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>1.3 Din\u00e2mica de ref\u00fagio e volatilidade do ouro<\/h3>\nNa mesma data, a crescente avers\u00e3o ao risco levou o ouro a atingir 3.428 $\/oz<\/strong>, apenas 2 % abaixo do recorde de abril (3.500 $\/oz), consolidando uma alta de 31 % no acumulado do ano (Trading Economics, 14 de junho de 2025). A demanda veio tanto de investidores de varejo \u2014refletida em volumes elevados de contratos na COMEX\u2014 quanto de bancos centrais de mercados emergentes que continuam diversificando reservas.<\/p>\nO metal precioso tamb\u00e9m se beneficiou da expectativa de que o Federal Reserve manter\u00e1 taxas restritivas, j\u00e1 que a <q>curva real<\/q> (retorno do Treasury ajustado pela infla\u00e7\u00e3o) mostrou-se contida: uma combina\u00e7\u00e3o que historicamente sustenta os pre\u00e7os do ouro (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025). No entanto, diversos estrategistas alertam para poss\u00edveis corre\u00e7\u00f5es t\u00e9cnicas de 10\u201315 % caso o conflito no Oriente M\u00e9dio esfrie ou se o d\u00f3lar volte a se valorizar com for\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>2.1 San\u00e7\u00f5es da UE \u00e0s Big Tech<\/h3>\nEm 23 de abril de 2025, a Comiss\u00e3o Europeia imp\u00f4s as primeiras san\u00e7\u00f5es formais sob a Digital Markets Act<\/em>: \u20ac 500 milh\u00f5es para a Apple e \u20ac 200 milh\u00f5es para a Meta<\/strong>. A decis\u00e3o indica que a Apple violou a proibi\u00e7\u00e3o de \u201canti-steering\u201d, enquanto a Meta n\u00e3o cumpriu a obriga\u00e7\u00e3o de oferecer um modo que limite o uso de dados pessoais. Ambos os \u00abgatekeepers\u00bb receberam 60 dias<\/strong> para modificar seus modelos de neg\u00f3cios ou arriscam-se a multas di\u00e1rias de at\u00e9 5 % do faturamento global (European Commission, 2025; Tech Policy Press, 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>2.2 EUA endurecem a\u00e7\u00f5es antitruste contra o Google<\/h3>\nEm 13 de junho de 2025, o Departamento de Justi\u00e7a abriu uma investiga\u00e7\u00e3o para determinar se a compra da empresa de ciberseguran\u00e7a Wiz<\/strong> por parte do Google, avaliada em 32.000 M USD<\/strong>, reduziria a concorr\u00eancia em servi\u00e7os de cloud security<\/em>. Trata-se da maior aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o na hist\u00f3ria da Alphabet e ocorre em meio aos dois processos antitruste que a empresa j\u00e1 enfrenta.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>2.3 Controles de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o para semicondutores<\/h3>\nEm 12 de junho de 2025, a Nvidia anunciou que deixar\u00e1 de incluir a China em suas previs\u00f5es de receita e resultados devido \u00e0s restri\u00e7\u00f5es de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o impostas pelos EUA aos seus chips de IA. A empresa estima que os limites representar\u00e3o uma perda de receita entre 2,5 e 8 bilh\u00f5es USD<\/strong> no primeiro semestre fiscal.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h2>3. Com\u00e9rcio internacional<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<h3>3.1 Acordo preliminar EUA\u2013China e risco tarif\u00e1rio<\/h3>\nEm 11 de junho, o presidente Donald Trump anunciou em Londres um \u00abquadro de entendimento\u00bb<\/em> com Pequim que, segundo suas declara\u00e7\u00f5es, mant\u00e9m as tarifas norte-americanas em 55 %<\/strong> sobre as importa\u00e7\u00f5es chinesas, enquanto a China manteria uma taxa de 10 % sobre bens norte-americanos (The Guardian, 11 de junho de 2025).<\/p>\nEmbora o acordo inclua o compromisso chin\u00eas de fornecer terras raras e abrir cotas de matr\u00edcula universit\u00e1ria, carece de detalhes sobre um cronograma de redu\u00e7\u00e3o tarif\u00e1ria, mantendo a <q>incerteza regulat\u00f3ria como principal risco para as cadeias de suprimentos globais<\/q> (The Guardian, 11 de junho de 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>3.2 Repercuss\u00e3o em mercados emergentes<\/h3>\nO caso mais ilustrativo foi a \u00cdndia: o BSE Sensex<\/em> caiu mais de 800 pontos<\/strong> em 12 de junho \u2014sua pior sess\u00e3o em cinco semanas\u2014 devido \u00e0 alta do petr\u00f3leo e \u00e0 falta de clareza sobre o pacto EUA\u2013China (Economic Times, 12 de junho de 2025).<\/p>\nUm dia depois, a corre\u00e7\u00e3o continuou e o Nifty 50<\/em> fechou abaixo de 24.750 pontos, pressionado por vendas em bancos e empresas de consumo dependentes de mat\u00e9rias-primas importadas (Economic Times, 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h2>4. Movimentos de mercado relevantes<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<h3>4.1 Renda vari\u00e1vel global<\/h3>\nWall Street fechou com fortes perdas em 13 de junho<\/strong>: o S&P 500 caiu 1,13 %, o Nasdaq 1,30 % e o Dow Jones 1,79 %. Na Europa, o \u00edndice STOXX 600<\/em> recuou 0,9 % e acumulou sua quinta sess\u00e3o consecutiva em queda. O sentimento de risco tamb\u00e9m se deteriorou na \u00c1sia, onde os principais \u00edndices ca\u00edram entre 1 % e 1,5 %, enquanto a volatilidade aumentou no final da semana (The Guardian, 13 de junho de 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>4.2 Metais preciosos<\/h3>\nO ouro refor\u00e7ou seu papel como escudo: fechou a sexta-feira em 3.430 $\/oz<\/strong>, um avan\u00e7o di\u00e1rio de 1,37 % e apenas 2 % abaixo do recorde de abril; em contraste, a prata terminou quase est\u00e1vel em 36,23 $\/oz e a platina recuou 5,17 %.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>4.3 Criptomoedas<\/h3>\nO Bitcoin despencou at\u00e9 103.900 $<\/strong> ap\u00f3s os bombardeios israelenses, seu n\u00edvel mais baixo em tr\u00eas semanas (Reynolds, 2025). Posteriormente, recuperou-se para os 106.000 $, mas fechou com uma queda pr\u00f3xima de 2 % (Sandor & Carreras, 2025); os skews<\/em> de op\u00e7\u00f5es revelam maior demanda por prote\u00e7\u00f5es via puts (Godbole, 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h2>5. Impacto sobre os blocos da carteira<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<h3>5.1 Mega-caps tecnol\u00f3gicas<\/h3>\nApple<\/strong> recuou 1,9 % ap\u00f3s a multa de \u20ac 500 M e a amea\u00e7a de penalidades di\u00e1rias; Meta<\/strong> perdeu 2,4 %; Alphabet<\/strong> enfrenta a revis\u00e3o da compra da Wiz; Microsoft<\/strong> indicou que seu capex<\/em> crescer\u00e1 \u00abem ritmo mais lento\u00bb (Hood, 2025); Amazon<\/strong> negou cortes de investimento, mas analistas alertam para um timing<\/em> mais lento em novos data-centers<\/em> (Pymnts, 2025). Por fim, Nvidia<\/strong> caiu 6 % ap\u00f3s excluir a China de suas previs\u00f5es.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>5.2 ETFs de crescimento (SCHG, SPYG, ACWI)<\/h3>\nA orienta\u00e7\u00e3o \u00abhigher for longer\u00bb e as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas atingiram os ETFs de crescimento: SCHG<\/strong> fechou em 28,27 USD (FinanceCharts, 2025); SPYG<\/strong> caiu para 91,01 USD; ACWI<\/strong> perdeu 1,5 % na semana.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>5.3 Semicondutores (NVDA, TSMC, ASML)<\/h3>\nTSMC<\/strong> acumula uma queda > 20 % YTD devido \u00e0 amea\u00e7a de tarifas de 55 %; ASML<\/strong> foi arrastada (\u20134 % na semana) por rumores de extens\u00e3o dos controles de litografia.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>5.4 Metais e prote\u00e7\u00e3o (IAU)<\/h3>\nO iShares Gold Trust<\/em> (IAU<\/strong>) subiu 1,33 % em 13 de junho acompanhando a escalada do ouro (Yahoo Finance, 2025).<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h3>5.5 Cripto (BTC)<\/h3>\nBitcoin<\/strong> despencou para 103.900 USD antes de recuperar; a rela\u00e7\u00e3o inversa com o Brent se acentuou e os skews<\/em> de op\u00e7\u00f5es revelam maior demanda por puts protetoras.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h2>6. Perspectiva e a\u00e7\u00f5es recomendadas<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Rebalanceamento t\u00e1tico e prote\u00e7\u00f5es com op\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong>. A queda simult\u00e2nea de mega-caps e semicondutores sugere reduzir exposi\u00e7\u00e3o nos ativos mais sens\u00edveis a tarifas e controles de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o (ex.: NVDA, TSM) e redirecionar parte do peso para setores defensivos como sa\u00fade \/ consumo b\u00e1sico ou para \u201cbuffer ETFs\u201d que limitam o draw-down, produto que captou um recorde de US$ 5,6 bilh\u00f5es no \u00faltimo trimestre. Os pr\u00eamios de op\u00e7\u00f5es baratearam cerca de ~16 % em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao in\u00edcio do ano, o que oferece uma janela para comprar puts sobre \u00edndices (S&P 500, Nasdaq-100) ou calls sobre ouro como prote\u00e7\u00e3o macro. Alguns gestores, ap\u00f3s o choque Israel-Ir\u00e3, recomendam \u201ccalendar spreads\u201d de tr\u00eas a seis meses para enfrentar a incerteza tarif\u00e1ria e geopol\u00edtica.<\/li>\n<li>Aumento t\u00e1tico de liquidez<\/strong>. A semana terminou com sa\u00eddas globais de a\u00e7\u00f5es e aumento das posi\u00e7\u00f5es em fundos de mercado monet\u00e1rio<\/em>; o Bank of America estima que a aloca\u00e7\u00e3o em caixa subiu para 5,8 % das carteiras mistas, o maior n\u00edvel desde 2023. Manter 5\u201310 % em liquidez (ou em ETF de T-Bills de curt\u00edssimo prazo) permite aproveitar corre\u00e7\u00f5es eventuais e mitigar a volatilidade ligada ao petr\u00f3leo e \u00e0s taxas \u201chigher for longer\u201d.<\/li>\n<li>Monitoramento de marcos regulat\u00f3rios e f\u00f3runs de alto n\u00edvel<\/strong>. a) As reuni\u00f5es do FOMC em 17-18 de junho (proje\u00e7\u00f5es e coletiva de imprensa de Powell) marcar\u00e3o o tom da dura\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica restritiva. b) Apple e Meta devem apresentar planos de conformidade com a DMA at\u00e9 23 de junho para evitar multas di\u00e1rias de at\u00e9 5 % da receita global. c) O G7 se reunir\u00e1 em Ap\u00falia (It\u00e1lia) de 25 a 27 de junho; a agenda inclui cadeias de suprimentos cr\u00edticas e regula\u00e7\u00e3o de IA, pontos-chave para Big Tech e semicondutores. d) O Congresso dos EUA debater\u00e1 a amplia\u00e7\u00e3o dos controles sobre chips e poss\u00edveis san\u00e7\u00f5es adicionais em audi\u00eancias previstas para a primeira semana de julho.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/p>\n<h2>7. Checklist de monitoramento<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>17\u201318 jun.<\/strong> \u2014 Decis\u00e3o do Fed + \u201cdot plot\u201d. Confirmar se permanece a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de tr\u00eas cortes ou se ser\u00e3o adiados; impacto direto nos m\u00faltiplos de crescimento.<\/li>\n<li>23 jun.<\/strong> \u2014 Prazo final da Comiss\u00e3o Europeia para que Apple e Meta apresentem mudan\u00e7as na App Store e no modelo \u201cpague-ou-consinta\u201d conforme a DMA; risco de multas di\u00e1rias.<\/li>\n<li>25\u201327 jun.<\/strong> \u2014 C\u00fapula do G7 em Ap\u00falia (It\u00e1lia). Acompanhar comunicados sobre: a) tarifas EUA\u2013China, b) coordena\u00e7\u00e3o em controles de semicondutores, c) poss\u00edvel libera\u00e7\u00e3o de reservas estrat\u00e9gicas de petr\u00f3leo.<\/li>\n<li>30 jun.<\/strong> \u2014 Atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o preliminar do Departamento de Com\u00e9rcio sobre a efic\u00e1cia dos controles de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de IA; Nvidia e ASML no centro das aten\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/li>\n<li>\u2006Em andamento<\/strong> \u2014 Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o do Brent ap\u00f3s o ataque Israel-Ir\u00e3 e poss\u00edveis desdobramentos; um fechamento do Estreito de Ormuz aumentaria o risco de \u2265100 $\/barril.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Refer\u00eancias<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (2025, 7 mayo). Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20250507a.htm\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20250507a.htm<\/a><\/li>\n<li>The Guardian. (2025, 11 junio). Trump says China will face 55 % tariffs in new trade deal<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jun\/11\/trump-says-china-will-face-55-percent-tariffs-us-trade-deal-rare-earth-minerals\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jun\/11\/trump-says-china-will-face-55-percent-tariffs-us-trade-deal-rare-earth-minerals<\/a><\/li>\n<li>The Guardian. (2025, 13 junio). Oil and gold prices soar and stock markets fall after Israel’s attacks on Iran<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jun\/13\/oil-and-gold-prices-soar-after-israel-attacks-on-iran\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jun\/13\/oil-and-gold-prices-soar-after-israel-attacks-on-iran<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Trading Economics. (2025, 14 junio). Gold price<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/gold\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/gold<\/a><\/li>\n<li>European Commission. (2025, 23 abril). Commission finds Apple and Meta in breach of the Digital Markets Act<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/en\/ip_25_1085\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/en\/ip_25_1085<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Tech Policy Press. (2025, 23 abril). Understanding the Apple and Meta non-compliance decisions under the DMA<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/techpolicy.press\/understanding-the-apple-and-meta-noncompliance-decisions-under-the-digital-markets-act\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/techpolicy.press\/understanding-the-apple-and-meta-noncompliance-decisions-under-the-digital-markets-act<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Kluwer Competition Law Blog. (2025, 28 abril). The DMA\u2019s teeth: Meta and Apple fined by the European Commission<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/competitionlawblog.kluwercompetitionlaw.com\/2025\/04\/28\/the-dmas-teeth-meta-and-apple-fined-by-the-european-commission\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/competitionlawblog.kluwercompetitionlaw.com\/2025\/04\/28\/the-dmas-teeth-meta-and-apple-fined-by-the-european-commission\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Economic Times. (2025, 12 junio). Stock-market highlights: Sensex settles 823 pts lower, Nifty below 24 900<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/stocks\/live-blog\/bse-sensex-today-live-nifty-stock-market-updates-12-june-2025\/liveblog\/121790483.cms\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/stocks\/live-blog\/bse-sensex-today-live-nifty-stock-market-updates-12-june-2025\/liveblog\/121790483.cms<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Hood, A. (2025, mayo). Microsoft capex to grow at slower rate, CFO says<\/em>. CFO Dive. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfodive.com\/news\/microsoft-capex-grow-slower-rate-cfo-ai\/746947\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.cfodive.com\/news\/microsoft-capex-grow-slower-rate-cfo-ai\/746947\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Pymnts. (2025, mayo). Amazon CEO Andy Jassy says tariffs have not affected sales<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pymnts.com\/amazon\/2025\/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-says-tariffs-have-not-affected-sales\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.pymnts.com\/amazon\/2025\/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-says-tariffs-have-not-affected-sales\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Yahoo Finance. (2025). iShares Gold Trust (IAU) \u2013 historical data<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/IAU\/history\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/IAU\/history\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>FinanceCharts. (2025). SCHG performance history & total returns<\/em>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.financecharts.com\/etfs\/SCHG\/performance\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.financecharts.com\/etfs\/SCHG\/performance<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Reynolds, S. (2025, 12 junio). Bitcoin tumbles below 104 000 $ as Israel strikes Iran<\/em>. CoinDesk. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/12\/btc-trading-under-104k-as-israel-appears-to-strike-iran\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/12\/btc-trading-under-104k-as-israel-appears-to-strike-iran<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Sandor, K., & Carreras, T. (2025, 13 junio). Bitcoin bounces to 106 000 $ after Iran-Israel jitters<\/em>. CoinDesk. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/13\/bitcoin-bounces-to-106k-after-iran-israel-jitters-but-analysts-warn-of-deeper-pullback\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/13\/bitcoin-bounces-to-106k-after-iran-israel-jitters-but-analysts-warn-of-deeper-pullback<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Godbole, O. (2025, 13 junio). Bitcoin \u2018skew\u2019 slides as oil prices surge 6 %<\/em>. CoinDesk. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/13\/bitcoin-skew-slides-as-oil-prices-surges-6-on-israel-iran-tensions\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/13\/bitcoin-skew-slides-as-oil-prices-surges-6-on-israel-iran-tensions<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/body> \n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Armas e Algoritmos: Impacto Geopol\u00edtico e Tecnol\u00f3gico Armas e Algoritmos: Impacto Geopol\u00edtico e Tecnol\u00f3gico Resumo executivo Durante a semana 9 \u2013 14 de junho de 2025, tr\u00eas focos de risco coincidiram e afetaram simultaneamente os ativos de crescimento da minha carteira no eToro: Ambiente macroecon\u00f4mico restritivo: O Federal Reserve manteve a taxa b\u00e1sica em 4,25 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-container-style":"default","site-container-layout":"default","site-sidebar-layout":"default","disable-article-header":"default","disable-site-header":"default","disable-site-footer":"default","disable-content-area-spacing":"default","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized-pt"],"yoast_head":"\n<title>De Armas e Algoritmos: Impacto Geopol\u00edtico e Tech - Investor Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"An\u00e1lise semanal 9\u201314 jun 2025: impacto geopol\u00edtico e tech em macro, Big Tech, semicondutores, petr\u00f3leo, ouro e Bitcoin; 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